Photograph by Roy Toft, National Geographic
Residents of New Mexico are scared of their local wolves. Should they be?
National Geographic
Published October 29, 2013
In rural Reserve, New Mexico,
children wait for school buses inside boxy, wood-and-mesh structures
that look like chicken coops. The "kid cages" are meant as protection
from wolves. But are they even necessary?
The issue is part of a long-simmering political debate, which recently came to a boil in the Southwest when the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service said it wants the Endangered Species Act to cover about 75 Mexican wolves
in New Mexico and Arizona. That would make it illegal to kill these
wolves—a smaller subspecies of gray wolf—and expand the area where they
can roam safely.
Conservative groups, which call wolves a
threat to humans and livestock alike, say that would be government
overreach. Wolf defenders, who cite the fact that no wolf attacks have
been documented in New Mexico or Arizona, call the new kid cages a
stunt.
To understand the issue on scientific terms, we spoke with Daniel MacNulty, a wildlife-ecology professor at Utah State University who's been studying wolves in Yellowstone National Park for the past 18 years.
Are wolves in the Southwest really a threat to schoolchildren and other humans?
Are they a meaningful threat? No. Is the probability of wolves hurting someone zero? No. Is it close to zero? Yes, very close.
A
child in a rural area is more likely to [be hurt or killed in] an
incident with an off-road all-terrain vehicle, or in an encounter with a
feral dog, or in a hunting accident. There are very, very few instances
in North America of wolves hurting anybody, let alone children.
Another thing to keep in mind: Mexican wolves
are not very large—they weigh just 60 to 80 pounds. Compare that to
wolves up in Yellowstone, which can be upward of 130 pounds. As a
result, [Mexican wolves are] more easily intimidated by people,
livestock, and wild prey.
So I think people are overreacting here, as is often the case with wolves.
Practically speaking, would those "kid cages" even protect children from wolves?
I've
not seen the cages. But wolves are not sharks. Cages are unnecessary
because wolves aren't going to be attacking children at the bus stop.
The suggestion that they would is fear-mongering and unhinged from the
facts.
Why do you think wolves are so often vilified in the popular imagination?
They
take things that we value: They kill livestock and pets. They infringe
on our sense of safety. The fact that they take things from us creates
alarm and exaggerated notions of their power.
Wolves do
have the power to kill—there's no question about it. That's how they
make a living. But that power is checked by very real biological limits:
their skeletal morphology, their behavior, their size, their
age—factors that limit their capacity to kill.
For that
reason, they're selective about what they kill. They primarily target
juvenile livestock, because they're small and they're easy to
kill—there's very little risk of being injured in the process. Same with
wild prey. They primarily kill fawns and elk calves. And among the
adults, they mainly kill the older animals.
When I see
wolves in the field, they often run away. The reason is they're
intimidated. And that's in Yellowstone. My guess is that Mexican wolves
are generally even more intimidated [by people].
Does that change when it's a pack situation, rather than an individual wolf?
There's
no data to show it, but I'd say a pack is probably more likely to be
bold than an individual. Solitary wolves are fairly easily intimidated.
In
terms of hunting, we know from our analyses of packs up in Yellowstone
that success at hunting elk peaks at about four [wolves]. In other
words, beyond four wolves, each additional wolf doesn't increase the
success rate of the pack.
We think the reason for that
is that when a pack of ten shows up, they don't all contribute equally
to the outcome of the hunt. Only about four of them actually do
anything. The rest are there simply to be on hand when a kill is made.
Pack
size probably matters most from a social perspective—in terms of
wolves' relationship with each other. A bigger pack will overcome a
smaller pack in a competition for turf.
What should people do when they encounter wolves?
Encountering
wolves in the wild is a thrilling, safe experience. If you're lucky
enough to see them without them detecting you, then sit back, relax, and
enjoy the opportunity to observe wild wolf behavior. If they detect you
first, it's likely they'll run off before you even know it. Wild wolves
are generally intimidated by humans.
So how should we think about wolves?
What
people have to understand is that wolves do not have supernatural
powers. They can't jump over mountain ranges. They can't bring down a
moose with a single bite to the neck. They have intrinsic biological
limits, which means they have a constrained role on the landscape and in
the environment.
People can avoid overreacting to wolves by understanding that the power of wolves is limited. It's as simple as that.
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